How Safe Does a Rocket Have to Be?
How Safe Does a Rocket Have to Be?
IPinSpace, 25 April 2012
In order to regulate and monitor the space transportation industry and
share the burden of this potential liability, commercial space launch
companies must apply for and obtain launch licenses from the FAA. The
FAA cannot permit a launch unless the total expected average number of
casualties (Ec) for the launch and subsequent mission is less
than .00003. In other words, the FAA cannot issue a launch permit
through the traditional launch licensing process if there is a better
than 30 in a million chance that people will be harmed by a commercial
launch. The FAA has outlined the general methods for making Ec calculations, but sometimes launch vehicle operators and the FAA arrive at different Ec values.
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